Residential Sector: Electricity

Comparison of Individual Differences With Total Effect

Variable # 1

Table #2 Energy Consumption by Sector and Source (quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)

Sector and Source Residential: Electricity

High Price Low Households

Year RSHEP07.0926a RSLHH07.0926a Sum of Diffs Total Diff Sum/Total

2010 -.08395 -.0139751 -.0979251 -.0979252 .9999989

2011 -.142581 -.0228648 -.1654458 -.165206 1.001451

2012 -.1713028 -.0321679 -.2034707 -.2025661 1.004466

2013 -.1763353 -.0414319 -.2177672 -.2161522 1.007472

2014 -.1812229 -.0510082 -.2322311 -.2297254 1.010907

2015 -.1853962 -.0603123 -.2457085 -.2427502 1.012187

2016 -.189445 -.0694113 -.2588563 -.2558613 1.011706

2017 -.1927104 -.0782943 -.2710047 -.2677894 1.012007

2018 -.196291 -.0872331 -.2835241 -.2801571 1.012018

2019 -.2000551 -.096312 -.2963671 -.2927079 1.012501

2020 -.2043309 -.1054502 -.3097811 -.305963 1.012479

2021 -.2071619 -.1137486 -.3209105 -.3169856 1.012382

2022 -.2109351 -.122561 -.3334961 -.3291411 1.013231

2023 -.2150273 -.1316032 -.3466305 -.341476 1.015095

2024 -.2196612 -.1409411 -.3606023 -.354599 1.01693

2025 -.2234397 -.1497078 -.3731475 -.3662391 1.018863

2026 -.2277203 -.1585989 -.3863192 -.3787041 1.020108

2027 -.2321672 -.1674361 -.3996033 -.3911653 1.021572

2028 -.2370791 -.176321 -.4134001 -.4041643 1.022852

2029 -.239574 -.1829276 -.4225016 -.4138207 1.020977

2030 -.2425828 -.1898417 -.4324245 -.424335 1.019064

Indogenous Variable:

Table #2 Energy Consumption by Sector and Source (quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)

Sector and Source Residential: Electricity

Exogenous Variables:

# 1) Table #3 Energy Prices by Sector and Source (2005 dollars per million Btu, unless otherwise noted)

Sector and Source Residential: Electricity

# 2) Table #4 Residential Sector Key Indicators and Consumption (quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)

Key Indicators Households (millions): Total

# 3) Lagged Table #2 Energy Consumption by Sector and Source (quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)

Sector and Source Residential: Electricity

Exogenous

Variable Mean Coefficient Elasticity t-statistic

Variable# 1 26.31588 -.015162 -.075772 -22.897979

Variable# 2 124.255 .020493 .483561 12.750134

Variable# 3 5.186627 .550345 .542066 20.590997

Constant .264055

Endogenous Mean SER R-sq LR-Multiplier

Variable 5.265844 .012582 .996338 2.22392723310093

Residential Sector Scenarios: Electricity

File	Electricity Price +/- 25%	Total Households +/- 10%
Base	B	B
RSHEP07	H	B
RSLHH07	B	L
RSEL107	H	L
RSLEP07	L	B
RSHHH07	B	H
RSEL207	H	H
RSEL307	L	L
RSEL407	L	H

“H” = high variation, “L” = low variation, “B” = AEO2007 Base Case