RSTEM Structural Sensitivities For Residential Sector Electricity Demand

Census Region

Macro-Driver

qhallc_[reg]

Macro-Driver

yrpic_[reg]

Electricty Price

esrcu_[reg]

Weather: HDD

zwhd_[reg]

Weather: CDD

zwcd_[reg]

1 NEC

.907

.086

-.196

.200

.042

2 MAC

.930

.065

-.055

.153

.131

3 ENC

.994

.005

-.230

.316

.191

4 WNC

.976

.022

-.460

.138

.124

5 SAC

.978

.020

-.222

.201

.222

6 ESC

.984

.015

-.237

.174

.126

7 WSC

.981

.017

-.172

.153

.309

8 MTN

.841

-.111(?)

.011(?)

.044

nil(?)

9 PAC

.895

-.016(?)

.001(?)

.116

nil(?)

RSTEM National Elasticity

 

.956

 

.012

 

-.190

 

.183

 

.175

NEMS

2007

 

.484

 

-.075

 

.085

 

.126

Driver #1: qhallc_{reg} = regional family and non-family number of households

 

Driver #2: yrpic_{reg} = regional nominal personal income

 

Price: esrcu_{reg} = regional residential sector electricity price

 

Weather #1: zwhd_{reg} =  regional heating degree days

 

Weather #2: zwcd_{reg} = regional cooling degree days

 

RSTEM Structural Sensitivities For Residential Sector Natural Gas Demand

Census Region

Macro_Driver

cwd_[reg]

Price

ngrcu_[reg]

Weather: HDD

zwhd_[reg]

1 NEC

.108

-.098

1.00

2 MAC

.753

-.228

.794

3 ENC

1.90

-.705

1.78

4 WNC

.079

-.072

.856

5 SAC

.057

-.052

.717

6 ESC

.112

-.101

.877

7 WSC

.114

-.103

.558

8 MTN

.076

-.088

.815

9 PAC

.012

-.011

.559

RSTEM National Elasticity

 

.871

 

-.323

 

1.27

NEMS 2007

.694

-.085

.563

Driver: cwd_{reg} = regional total, nonfarm, real wage disbursements

 

Price: ngrcu_{reg} = regional residential sector natural gas price

 

Weather: zwhd_{reg} = regional heating degree days

 

 

RSTEM Structural Sensitivities For Commercial Sector Electricity Demand

Census Region

Macro-Driver

eespp_[reg]

Macro-Driver

cwdspp_[reg]

Electricty Price

escmu_[reg]

 Gas

 Price

ngcuu_[reg]

Weather: HDD

zwhd_[reg]

Weather: CDD

zwcd_[reg]

1 NEC

N/A

.059

-.094

N/A

.026

.011

2 MAC

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

.061

.039

3 ENC

1.11

N/A

N/A

N/A

.091

.031

4 WNC

-.048

.597

-.600

-.024

.029

.114

5 SAC

.768

N/A

N/A

N/A

.021

.075

6 ESC

.225

.070

-.070

N/A

.137

.595

7 WSC

N/A

N/A

N/A

-.032

.047

-.120

8 MTN

N/A

.223

-.225

N/A

.011

.087

9 PAC

-.017

.241

-.243

N/A

N/A

.794

RSTEM National Elasticity

 

.353

 

.094

 

-.097

 

N/A

 

.045

 

.228

NEMS 2007

 

.686

 

-.115

 

N/A

 

.0376

 

.118

Driver #1: eespp_{reg} = regional private sector employment

 

Driver #2: cwdspp_{reg} = regional private sector real wage disbursments

 

Price #1: escmu_{reg} = regional commercial sector electricity price

 

Price #2: ngcuu_{reg} = regional commercial sector natural gas price

 

Weather #1: zwhd_{reg} =  regional heating degree days

 

Weather #2: zwcd_{reg} = regional cooling degree days

 

 

RSTEM Structural Sensitivities For Commercial Sector Natural Gas Demand

Census Region

Macro_Driver

eespp_[reg]

Price

ngcuu_[reg]

Weather: HDD

zwhd_[reg]

1 NEC

N/A

N/A

.531

2 MAC

1.951

-..081

.277

3 ENC

.316

-.071

               .488             

4 WNC

N/A

-.142

.436

5 SAC

.057

-.034

.279

6 ESC

.636

-.066

.432

7 WSC

-.129

-.240

.171

8 MTN

.559

-.144

.353

9 PAC

N/A

N/A

-.172

RSTEM National Elasticity

 

.481

 

-.068

 

.492

NEMS 2007

.776

-.185

.445

Driver: eespp_{reg} = regional private sector employment

 

Price: ngcuu{reg} = regional commercial sector natural gas price

 

Weather: zwhd_{reg} = regional heating degree days