Impact Results

 

Residential Sector Delivered Energy Consumed (Quads) in 2005

NEMS Version

 

NEMS

 

Actual

 

Difference

%

Difference

%

Adjustment

%

Uncertainty

AEO1998

*

*

*

*

*

*

AEO1999

11.572

11.39

.182

1.6

10.86

-9.26

AEO2000

11.4

11.39

.01

.1

8.14

-8.05

AEO2001

11.86

11.39

.466

4.09

10.22

-6.12

AEO2002

11.99

11.39

.602

5.28

6.33

-1.05

AEO2003

11.9

11.39

.515

4.52

6.13

-1.61

AEO2004

11.86

11.39

.470

4.12

8.00

-3.87

* Regression results not consistent.

 

Residential Sector Electricity Consumption (Quads) in 2005

NEMS Version

 

NEMS

 

Actual

 

Difference

%

Difference

%

Adjustment

%

Uncertainty

AEO1998

4.292

4.675

-.365

-7.84

-4.03

-3.81

AEO1999

4.306

4.675

-.351

-7.55

-3.74

-3.8

AEO2000

4.372

4.675

-.285

-6.13

-2.82

-3.32

AEO2001

4.496

4.675

-.161

-3.45

-1.64

-1.81

AEO2002

4.619

4.675

-.037

-.81

1.01

-1.81

AEO2003

*

*

*

*

*

*

AEO2004

4.5

4.675

-.157

-3.36

-.45

-2.91

* Regression results not consistent.

 

Residential  Sector Natural Gas Consumption (Quads) in 2005

NEMS Version

 

NEMS

 

Actual

 

Difference

%

Difference

%

Adjustment

%

Uncertainty

AEO1998

5.467

4.984

.483

9.69

19.7

-10.02

AEO1999

5.31

4.984

.325

6.52

14.11

-7.59

AEO2000

5.22

4.984

.238

4.77

6.73

-1.96

AEO2001

5.46

4.984

.476

9.56

10.26

-.7

AEO2002

5.53

4.984

.541

10.86

15.00

-4.14

AEO2003

5.45

4.984

.469

9.41

21.15

-11.74

AEO2004

5.35

4.984

.370

7.43

12.14

-4.71

 

 

Commercial Sector Delivered Energy Consumed (Quads) in 2005

NEMS Version

 

NEMS

 

Actual

 

Difference

%

Difference

%

Adjustment

%

Uncertainty

AEO1998

8.206

8.461

-.255

-3.02

6.64

-9.64

AEO1999

8.322

8.461

-.139

-1.64

.74

-2.38

AEO2000

8.281

8.461

-.18

-2.12

-1.00

-1.12

AEO2001

8.868

8.461

.407

4.81

4.98

-.18

AEO2002

9.048

8.461

.587

6.94

5.88

1.07

AEO2003

8.954

8.461

.493

5.83

5.95

-.11

AEO2004

8.753

8.461

.292

3.46

9.1

-5.65

 

 

Commercial Sector Electricity Consumption (Quads) in 2005

NEMS Version

 

NEMS

 

Actual

 

Difference

%

Difference

%

Adjustment

%

Uncertainty

AEO1998

3.839

4.322

-.483

-11.18

-5.24

-5.94

AEO1999

3.966

4.322

-.356

-8.25

-9.29

1.03

AEO2000

4.057

4.322

-.265

-6.13

-7.94

1.81

AEO2001

4.346

4.322

.024

.54

-1.68

2.23

AEO2002

4.457

4.322

.135

3.12

-1.43

4.54

AEO2003

4.486

4.322

.164

3.8

2.46

1.36

AEO2004

4.422

4.322

.100

2.32

3.37

-1.05